Bird’s Eye: Well, Abbas is gambling on the UN, as he prepares the proposal. It’s clear he has the votes, just as it’s clear the US will veto the proposal in the Security Council. (The US said it will veto the Palestinian proposal “to help Palestine form a genuine state”. We’re not making this up.) We offer perspectives on this proposal from Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Israel, Rabbi Lerner in the US… and a fascinating theory what will happen afterwards.
* Turkish Leader Urges Vote for Palestinian Statehood New York Times
Capitalizing on Turkey’s growing stature and influence across the Middle East at a time of regional upheaval, its prime minister ramped up the pressure onIsrael and the United States on Tuesday, telling Arab League ministers they must vote for Palestinian statehood at the United Nations this month.
“Recognition of the Palestinian state is the only correct way,” the prime minister, Recep Tayyip Erdogan, said in a speech to members of Arab League in Cairo on the second day of his so-called “Arab Spring” tour. “It is not a choice but an obligation.”
Mr. Erdogan’s support of Palestinian statehood was certainly no surprise. But the commanding tone of his message, coupled with his increasingly hostile attitude toward Israel — which once considered Turkey its close friend — underscored how Turkey has now cast itself as a leader in the region.
The United States must back a Palestinian bid for UN recognition of statehood or risk becoming “toxic” in the Arab world and forcing a split with ally Saudi Arabia, a top Saudi diplomat warned Monday. If Washington imposes its veto when the Palestinians seek to become the 194th member state of the United Nations then “Saudi Arabia would no longer be able to cooperate with America in the same way it historically has,” former Saudi ambassador to the United States, Prince Turki al-Faisal wrote.
He warned in a commentary in the The New York Times that a US veto would see American influence decline, “Israeli security undermined and Iran will be empowered, increasing the chances of another war in the region.The ‘special relationship’ between Saudi Arabia and the United States would increasingly be seen as toxic by the vast majority of Arabs and Muslims, who demand justice for the Palestinian people.”
* Ten Reasons Palestine Is Right To Bring Its Case To The UN Bradley Burston, Haaretz
Here are ten reasons that Abu Mazen’s Hail Mary route at the UN may succeed after all:
1. It restores the issue of Palestine from the back-burner to the world’s biggest stage, without resort to violence. The UN move has already compelled all relevant parties to the conflict to re-examine long-accustomed and long-stymied tactics and mindsets….
2. It conveys the concept of Palestine as a nation, living alongside Israel as a member of the community of nations, acknowledging the primacy of the UN as a forum for state-to-state airing of disputes. This stands in stark contrast to the loose-cannon guerrilla band image cultivated by Yasser Arafat in his 1974 address to the General Assembly (“Today I have come bearing an olive branch and a freedom-fighter’s gun. Do not let the olive branch fall from my hand. I repeat …”), which gave no quarter to the existence of an independent Israel.
* Both Recognize Palestine AND Re-affirm Israel’s Right to Exist as a Jewish State. Rabbi Michael Lerner, Tikkun magazine
A far wiser strategy is for the U.S. (even better, with Israel) to introduce a resolution to the Security Council providing full membership in the U.N. to Palestine while simultaneously reaffirming Israel’s right to exist as a Jewish state. Both sides win. Israel will feel less isolated, and Palestinians will get full instead of the only partial and largely symbolic membership in the U.N. it could get from the General Assembly once the U.S. vetoes membership in a Security Council resolution.
* Palestine: Plan B Strenger Haaretz
If the UN bid does not yield any tangible results, the Palestinian leadership may seriously consider dissolving the Palestinian Authority, and the West Bank, once again, will be Israel’s responsibility. The implications are enormous both economically and politically.
In that event, the Palestinians are then likely to turn to the UN with a new request: They will claim that after 44 years of occupation, they are de facto residents under Israeli sovereignty, and should therefore receive Israeli citizenship. This scenario is likely to be the de facto burial of the two-state solution: What would the current Israeli coalition do under such circumstances?