Bird’s-Eye: Google News lists 20,000 news pieces on the flotilla, most of them analyzing what happened and what it means. We start with Stratfor, a generally right-wing “global intelligence” magazine out of Texas; continue with Gideon Levy, one of the finest and most resolute campaigners for peace in Israel; and end with Stephen Walt, of Foreign Policy.
* Flotillas and the Wars of Public Opinion Stratfor
Israeli Deputy Foreign Minister Danny Ayalon charged that the mission was simply an attempt to provoke the Israelis. That was certainly the case. The mission was designed to demonstrate that the Israelis were unreasonable and brutal. The hope was that Israel would be provoked to extreme action, further alienating Israel from the global community and possibly driving a wedge between Israel and the United States. The operation’s planners also hoped this would trigger a political crisis in Israel.
A logical Israeli response would have been avoiding falling into the provocation trap and suffering the political repercussions the Turkish NGO was trying to trigger. Instead, the Israelis decided to make a show of force. The Israelis appear to have reasoned that backing down would demonstrate weakness and encourage further flotillas to Gaza, unraveling the Israeli position vis-à-vis Hamas. In this thinking, a violent interception was a superior strategy to accommodation regardless of political consequences. Thus, the Israelis accepted the bait and were provoked.
* Operation Mini Cast Lead Gideon Levy, Haaretz
Like in “Mini-Israel,” the park where there is everything, but smaller, Israel embarked yesterday on a mini Operation Cast Lead. Like its larger, losing predecessor, this operation had it all: the usual false claim that is was they who had started it – and not the landing of commandos from helicopters on a ship in open sea, away from Israeli territorial waters. There was the claim that the first act of violence came not from the soldiers, but the rioting activists on Mavi Marmara; that the blockade on Gaza is legal and that the flotilla to its shores is against the law – God knows which law….
If Cast Lead was a turning point in the attitude of the world toward us, this operation is the second horror film of the apparently ongoing series. Israel proved yesterday that it learned nothing from the first movie.
* What Could They Have Been Thinking? Stephen Walt Foreign Policy
My first question when I heard the news was: “What could Israel’s leaders have been thinking?” How could they possibly believe that a deadly assault against a humanitarian mission in international waters would play to their advantage? Israel’s government and its hard-line supporters frequently complain about alleged efforts to “delegitimize” the country, but actions like this are the real reason Israel’s standing around the world has plummeted to such low levels. This latest escapade is as bone-headed as the 2006 war in Lebanon (which killed over a thousand Lebanese and caused billions of dollars worth of damage) or the 2008-2009 onslaught that killed some 1300 Gazans, many of them innocent children. None of these actions achieved its strategic objective; indeed, all of them are just more evidence of the steady deterioration in Israel’s strategic thinking that we have witnessed since 1967.
